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bigken117 wrote:BABIP tends to be in the .300-.310 area, so conventional wisdom states that a player with a low BABIP is due to see a rise in his hits because he has been unlucky, where a player with a high BABIP is due for some regression to the mean.
Last season Carlos Gonzalez had a monstrous .384 Batting Average on Balls in Play and he was fantasy's #1 player, this season his BABIP is lower at .284 and he's ranked a meager 72. His high BABIP was the reason some savvy players stayed away from him in the first round.
thedude wrote:BABIP is also helpful when looking at pitchers. A pitcher with a low BABIP may have benefited from luck and good defensive team. Some argue that pitchers have no control over balls in play. While i disagree with going that far, a pitcher with a very low BABIP will likely come back to earth somewhat the following year.
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