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"Fire & Ice: Week 5" Column by Fantasy Baseball King

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"Fire & Ice: Week 5" Column by Fantasy Baseball King

Postby fantasybaseballking » Tue May 03, 2011 11:37 pm

Hey guys!

Just published the latest "Fire & Ice" column over at Razzball, and figured it would pertinent here.

Here's a snippet regarding Ben Zobrist:

Ben Zobrist – He has been a sort of “super-sub” who’s managed to get a full season’s worth of at-bats over the past couple of seasons. His usefulness has been derived mostly from his flexibility, as he currently qualifies at 1B, 2B, and OF. 2009 and 2010 were both positive years for him, but for quite different reasons. In 2009, Zobrist provided a surprising burst of power, smashing 27 homers to add extra value to his 17 stolen bases. Then in 2010, he continued his base stealing proficiency with 24 swipes, but his power spike faded, as he hit only 10 homers. His batting average throughout his career has been quite erratic, but for the most part, he’s settled into the .250-.260 region. A .326 BABIP in 2010 aided his .297 batting average that year, but, in the end, Zobrist has been a player who supplies a decent amount of power, nice steals, and most importantly, positional flexibility.

Analysis: Now with 7 HR’s already, the power seems to have suddenly returned. The most eye-popping statistic in his line though are those 25 RBI’s, which currently paces the entire American League. Obviously, Zobrist is on a roll right now, and may continue to be so for some time; May and June are historically Zobrist’s best months, as he has posted a .963 and .900 OPS in those months, respectively. His current BABIP is only .264, so we can’t just chalk this production up to good luck, but both his BB and K rates are about 3% worse than his career averages. The latter stats may not be too significant, as it could just be that, without Carlos Pena and Carl Crawford, and with Evan Longoria injured much of the season, Zobrist has been called upon to be a larger run producer and thus is pressing to, well, produce. It’s also important to remember back to 2008 when Zobrist was called up from Triple-A for the final time. He had only 227 plate appearances in 2008, but did manage 12 HR’s, so the power wasn’t only seen in 2009. With Zobrist currently 29 years old, he’s the perfect age to post a career year — this could be it.

Fantasy Baseball King’s Bold Prediction: .255, 23 HR, 85 RBI, 80 R, 22 SB

To read the rest, just head over to my blog and then to Razzball:



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