ok, so i ended up accepting the deal, and heres why...
I decided that my team was already very keeper friendly over "win now" as it was. Manny and Ortiz can make up for losing Youk in the HR/RBI/R area, and Manny should hit for a high avg. Ortiz might out homer Youk by a little, and Manny will hit at least 20. i think hes in for a surprisingly good season in TB. and despite that swap, im getting Belt on top of it all.
watching Belt this ST and the first couple games against Kershaw/Billingsley, i saw something rare. not just because im a Giants fan, but i think this guy is special. something about him isnt normal. normal prospects dont make the opening day roster in their 2nd year of pro baseball and skipping AAA. And for those who saw his AB's, they were fantastic. he took 29 pitches the first 4 AB's of his career. reached base twice on Kershaw, who was dominating all day. then last night hits a bomb to dead center for a 3 run shot.
At 3 bucks in a keeper league, i really wanted to get ahold of him now before he looks like the next superstar hitter for dirt cheap. it cost me Youk, but he was a one year player anyways, and i replaced most of his production with Manny/Ortiz. plus whatever production i get from Belt this year. (Brian Sabean also stated that Belt was up for good).
BN Bautista Victorino Utley Machado Stubbs W.Chen Marcum J.Garcia
SP Bumgarner Hellickson Scherzer Ed.Jackson Lynn
RP Papelbon Putz Street