Is Pujols without a doubt number 1 overall?
Any other pick at #1 would be a big mistake. What more would he have to do to earn the spot?
How high do you take Votto?
Votto becomes a viable option at #5 overall- along with Braun and Crawford. Hanley and Tulo are better because they play a razor thin position and have been top 5 contributors on a per game basis for 2 or more years each. I'm not considering a Wright or Longoria at #5 overall because their numbers just aren't that good. In all but the shallowest of leagues, teams are going to have weaknesses. I'm not paying for a 3B who wouldn't be among the top 7 1B with a top 5 pick. Position scarcity is a consideration, but the first hitter I take is going to be someone with a chance at a better line than .280 30/100, which is about the best you could expect from either guy.
Will Adrian be the 2nd best 1Bman now that he's in Boston or is the hype out of control?
Aside from Pujols, Adrian has the most upside of any other 1B. While the injury issue worries me a little, the upside is absolutely sky high. If healthy, he could easily do what Miggy did last year. He's a top 10 pick, and- like Votto, I'm probably taking him ahead of any 3B.
Does Tex rebound to a monster season that many expected last year in the Yankee lineup?
I'm beginning to tire of Tex's abysmal first halves in recent memory. 1B is deep so he's kicked to the tail end of the overall top 20 players. I still like him mind you, but I'm not expecting significantly different numbers from a year ago. Votto and Gonzo are better picks.
Does Morneau's concussion injury still scare you?
Not as badly as his relatively pedestrian (compared to the elite 1Bs) '08 and '09. I don't think there's any question he's not going to hit .340 again, but he is still a good pick in round 4/5. I would feel relatively comfortable with Morneau as my starting 1B, but I would be one of the first guys to take a backup 1B and make sure I get a solid one in case he misses time.
Do you want to draft Konerko this early?
If you pay for anything resembling last year's Konerko, you deserve to lose, plain and simple.
Do you believe in Butler?
I'd rather have him than Konerko, but I wouldn't feel comfortable with him as my best 1B, for obvious reasons. I'm actually targeting him in round 7 or 8 as a UTIL/CI
Is Dunn a good value?
I've never been a Dunn guy so a couple of years of a reasonably palatable, but still bad average aren't going to change that. Sure he'll probably hit 40 HRs, but so could Carlos Pena. Either guy is most likely going to kill your batting average, but Pena is going much later. At least with Pena, if he isn't hitting, I won't feel the least bit guilty about letting him ride the pine. All in all, I'd say Dunn is appropriately valued, but I'm not comfortable taking a sub .250 career hitter as a cornerstone of my team.
Which young sleeper do you like? Davis, Smoak, Freeman, LaPorta, Kila, Moreland, Belt or other?
Ike Davis. I need power from my 1B and he is the only guy on that list with an MLB track record of relatively legit power. After that I'll take Moreland in the last round. He's got as much upside as the rest of them. From what I've heard about Freeman and Belt, they're not ready to do it in 2011, but they'll be firmly on my radar for next year.
Berkman seems to have some fans in the cafe. How much higher do you take him?
I'm a Berkman guy this year. His recent struggles have been attributable to injury and he's a disciplined hitter, with power, in a potent lineup, where he'll probably hit near the top. I don't see any reason he can't produce the kind of season that Jim Edmonds turned in late in his career. I'm taking him late, of course, but I think he's a very viable fantasy zombie. He ain't dead yet. Maybe this year's Paul Konerko?