The Artful Dodger wrote:Lee is easier to replace than Reyes, however, and in a 10-teamer, snagging a #1 SP is easier. Reyes' production is expendable if you can get Andrus back in the draft, but few or neither replacement SS can come close to either Reyes/Andrus' ceilings.
It's easier to get similar production to Lee from the likes of Lester, Verlander, Josh Johnson, Liriano, Hamels, etc. The big advantage Lee has is efficiency, namely the prospect for a lower WHIP. In a H2H, ERA/WHIP are prone to fluctuating weekly and hence, any advantage in IP/ERA/WHIP is diluted.
In a roto, I'm more inclined to take Lee. Reyes' value is also diluted in H2H since SB can be volatile week to week as well, but at least you're not punting SS away either.
Dodger, I really appreciate your insight here, let me ask you... Does the fact that our draft is in auction format change any of your thinking? I ask because Andrus will almost certainly be unprotected, meaning I could drop Reyes and have a good shot at getting Andrus. Reyes is worth $20. Keeping Lee would cost me $17. I'm thinking I could get Andrus for $20 or less. Any thoughts?