Skin Blues wrote:Obviously there's more than just power to consider. OPS isn't just power though. You pick the hitting metric to use, and Ellsbury is just not that good. 355 OBA is alright, but not that special for an outfielder with no power and a -10 UZR. By the way I don't think a freakishly low UZR is a redeeming quality, but I guess that's just me. Ellsbury would probably be pleased as punch to have a season as good as Adam Lind's 2009. Hell, Adam Lind would probably like to have another season as good as Adam Lind's 2009, haha.
This is all off-topic though... point is, Jays are crawling through the AL East and will wind up on top in 2012. Not the boldest of predictions, and there will be growing pains in 2011 considering they'll likely have two rookies in the rotation (with the three "vets" being in their mid-20s), a rookie catcher, and Lawrie will probably earn a starting spot at some point, but they'll still be miles better than the Orioles.
freakish as in "not consistent with his history". I meant "flukish" instead. Damn you Autocorrect!
predicting the Jays will be up top in two years is pretty bold actually. I do think Morrow is a potential ace, but other than that, their pitching is pretty mediocre unless a bunch of guys take huge leaps forward.
Being better than the Orioles isn't a bold prediction though. The Jays may challenge the Rays for 3rd though. But I doubt it either this year or next. Since the Rays are also flush with a bunch of youngsters.