AquaMan2342 wrote: Matthias wrote:
jswede wrote:might not be all too long. .238 in April, but .380 over the last 4 weeks and .397 since 5/1.
should we call you, or do you want to meet here?
Oh, I'm around, just like I have been for the past 2 seasons when I pointed out the beginning of Ortiz's decline.
I'm not really sure why you keep patting yourself on the back for this. It's usually pretty clear that power hitters of his makeup experience a certain amount of decline once they reach their mid 30's. That being said, you're obviously exaggerating in this case. Will he put up .300/.400 lines? No, but he's still been able to provide solid power numbers the last three years outside of his poor April/May last year and April this year. He's on pace to hit 41 homers this season. Will he? No, but why can't he hit 35? He led the AL from June on last season and it looks pretty clear that he's found it again this season....and for a player that seems to be on such an obvious decline, that's pretty solid production.
Also, yes I am aware of his saber stats. Yes, he's death against lefties. I'm glad I did not give up on him on the three teams I own him with though.
Why? Because when I called it out, he was on a streak of 5 straight years of elite production. When I pointed out that his swing looked different and maybe he looked different, people downplayed it and said small sample size and why don't you drop him for Xaiver Nady and this that and the other. Obviously, he declined. And he declined starting that year. He only hit .238 and slugged .462 overall that year. And last year, after leading the AL in HRs from June onward, he had a respectable season, but still not one up to the standards of his past. So when someone says, "Hey, look, he's been really great this past month!!! Are you going to be around to talk about it when he comes back!!!!" then I say, yah, I've been around. I'm not jumping ship this past April and then jumping back on this May. I've already jumped ship on Ortiz as a fantasy option and I stand by that, just like I have been.
And you, you're talking out of both sides of your mouth. On the one side, you say, "Yah, he's declined. That happens to players like him." On the other side, you're saying, "I'm glad I didn't jump ship in the 3 leagues I drafted him in" so no matter what happens, you're golden. Me, I didn't draft him. And I won't. I'd rather draft players like Adam LaRoche who I have a good bead on what they're going to do. So why am I patting myself on the back for calling Ortiz? Well, first and obviously, because I was right. Second, because it was an unpopular opinion at the time. And lastly, because if you had listened to me, you would have drafted steadier players so you don't have to play this, "I hope I hit the 3 months of right production in a 6 month season" game.
0-3 to 4-3. Worst choke in the history of baseball. Enough said.