Most Accurate MLB Experts Past 4 Years
Moderator: Baseball Moderators
AquaMan2342 wrote:Who would he replace in the rotation? Price? Davis?
bigwords wrote:AquaMan2342 wrote:Who would he replace in the rotation? Price? Davis?
Don't think it's necessary to calculate who exactly it would be.
On a scale of 0 to 1, what are the chances that all five Tampa starters stay healthy the entire season?
OK, now multiply it by this...
On a scale of 0 to 1, what are the chances that all five Tampa starters will be effective?
OK, now multiply it by this...
On a scale of 0 to 1, what are the chances that Tampa will want to give its young arms 200 innings each?
Multiply by 100 and that's the percentage chance that Tampa will not need a replacement starter at some point during the season.
My estimate? .3 x .3 x .3 x 100 = 2.7 percent
bigwords wrote:AquaMan2342 wrote:Who would he replace in the rotation? Price? Davis?
Don't think it's necessary to calculate who exactly it would be.
On a scale of 0 to 1, what are the chances that all five Tampa starters stay healthy the entire season?
OK, now multiply it by this...
On a scale of 0 to 1, what are the chances that all five Tampa starters will be effective?
OK, now multiply it by this...
On a scale of 0 to 1, what are the chances that Tampa will want to give its young arms 200 innings each?
Multiply by 100 and that's the percentage chance that Tampa will not need a replacement starter at some point during the season.
My estimate? .3 x .3 x .3 x 100 = 2.7 percent
bigwords wrote:AquaMan2342 wrote:Who would he replace in the rotation? Price? Davis?
Don't think it's necessary to calculate who exactly it would be.
On a scale of 0 to 1, what are the chances that all five Tampa starters stay healthy the entire season?
OK, now multiply it by this...
On a scale of 0 to 1, what are the chances that all five Tampa starters will be effective?
OK, now multiply it by this...
On a scale of 0 to 1, what are the chances that Tampa will want to give its young arms 200 innings each?
Multiply by 100 and that's the percentage chance that Tampa will not need a replacement starter at some point during the season.
My estimate? .3 x .3 x .3 x 100 = 2.7 percent
steve1000 wrote:Seems simple enough.
Prospect of injury, ineffectiveness, or discretion due to youth will open up a slot in the rotation. Sure, could have been said in fewer words, but had he just said, there's a 97% shot that Hellickson will get a shot, you probably would think he was pulling the number of thin air.
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests