So, how does everyone think he stacks up against the other first-rounders for 2010? I've seen him considered anywhere from 5th to about 12th pick overall.
It looks like he's gone into rehab to try and take care of the drinking problems, although word is that he's not the most well-conditioned athlete. It's almost mind-boggling to think of what this guy could do with some focus and conditioning, because even with the weight/booze issues, his three-year-average is 91-35-116-3-.312 and he's played in 157 games or more for six consecutive seasons (how many active first-rounders can you say that about?).
Even though he's been pretty consistent with his numbers, 2010 seems to be more of an unknown situation with him due to the above circumstances and the following pro and con:
PRO: He's coming into his age 27 season this year and he's already put six big-time seasons behind him. To think of what he's already done combined with the notion that he may not even have peaked yet is pretty intriguing.
CON: This line-up looks like it's going to be mediocre at best. If they add Johnny Damon that will help out, but what do Magglio and Carlos Guillen really have left in the tank? And if they get injured or underperform, you're pinning your hopes on the likes of Austin Jackson, Scott Sizemore, Brandon Inge, Ryan Raburn, Clete Thomas, etc. Last year, Miguel had a slightly better situation than this and he didn't get 100 runs and barely made it over 100 RBI. I know that a player can do well sometimes even with a weak supporting cast, but I'd like to see a statistical study on that, because more often than not it seems like "as goes the team, so goes the player" (to steal a line from Lenny Melnick).
Anyways, what do you all think? What kind of risk/reward do we get with M-Cab this year? Maybe I'm overthinking this and he's probably going to get 95-35-110-2-.310 no matter what happens. So if he does that, where do you put him when compared with the other first-rounders?