So I've been trying to move Halladay in my keeper league for a stud hitter I can carry over to 2010. I've got a bunch of middle of the road keepers that I am comfortable keeping, but only so many spots. We keep 10 and I've got 5 no-brainers and a list of 10-15 other guys who are possibles, ranging from Shin Soo Choo to Gordan Beckham and Matt Garza to Joakim Soria.
So I've been shopping Halladay around, trying to package something with him even, to get a stud hitter to add to my keeper list as my offense has really been holding me back this year. My last straw just got rejected which was Halladay and Kendry Morales for Ryan Braun with the line "I value hitters more than pitchers".
Call me crazy, but I really don't get this line of thinking that I'm running into from everybody I talk to. Maybe I'm the idiot, but in a 5x5 league the 5 pitching categories, and 4 that a stud starter contributes positively to, count just the same as a stud hitter who is good in 4 categories of 5. I never thought it would be so hard to trade Roy freaking Halladay for a hitter worthy of a year-in year-out top 5 starting pitcher and Cy Young contender. Am I completely off in my value assessment of Halladay or is my league just unwilling to trade top tier talent for top tier talent? The guy I'm trying to get Braun from asked in a roundabout way if I would throw Carl Crawford in
You don't consider Gordon Beckham a no brainer keeper"?
That trade was extremely fair. Yes you are obviously conceding to the fact that Braun (hitter) is worth more than Halladay (pitcher) by throwing in Kendry Morales who currently has 20 HRs and will be 27 next year (great potential keeper). Even Braun for Halladay straight up would go through in all my leagues. Yes, I'd be jealous but I wouldn't think it to be so unfair that I would object it. Especially in the later half of the season when both players have produced top notch numbers.
Yes, I too like most value hitting way more than pitching. I mainly value hitters more during the draft because pitchers are way more fragile / less consistent with a bit more up and down season to season. But come mid season when you need something you have to go out and get what you need so your team can compete. Regardless if you have to over pay some or use a top hitter to bring in a top pitcher. By this time in the season you pretty much know who has a healthy arms arm, who is likely to break down or become injured, what type of season the pitcher is having and how well they are throwing currently.
But anyway here's why hitters are more valuable than pitchers. In all formats except maybe weekly head to head leagues where you can stack pitching.
- In roto leagues a hitter has a chance to produce in all 5 hitting categories. Whereas starters can only produce in 4 categories as they cannot get saves outside of a freak incident.
- Closers have a high turnover rate, sporadic production, low innings to weight your ratios over the whole year, low win totals, and insane injury rates.
- There are more SPs than any other offensive position. There are more RPs than SPs. Depth is on your side (usually).
- Pitchers develop faster than hitters. Tons of young arms will get called up that can prove to be more than fantasy relevant.
- Pitchers seem to break out harder and more often than hitters. (not a valid fact, but my opinion based off of my experience).