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GotowarMissAgnes wrote:John Bonzo wrote:I think it would be pretty bad. In Baltimore, he is looking at being in a great lineup and a good hitters park. In LA, it would be a terrible lineup and a terrible hitters park. Off the top of my head, I would cut his HR and RBI projections by 33%.
It's not a great hitter's park.
John Bonzo wrote:I said it is a good hitters park (not great), but you're right...it is a pretty neutral park. 318 down the right line isnt bad for a lefty like Gibbons, but it does jut out towards center.
I still think that moving to LA would be pretty bad for Gibbons (though like everyone else i seriously doubt it will happen). He would probably hit after Green, and add to that the fact that LA was the least run-producing team in the majors last season (and they havent changed the lineup much this season), and I see Gibbon's RBIs dropping considerably in LA.
GotowarMissAgnes wrote:What Baltimore (whatever thatmeans) feels isn't relevant. What's relevant is reality. Dealing Gibbons offers no net gain, because what you add in pitching you subtract in pitching. In fact, it's probably a net loss, because Gibbons hits better than most people the Orioles would end up replacing his at bats with, while it's unlikely he would bring a pitcher substantially better than they are likely to get from Ainsworth, Dubose, or Riley.
I dont think Dubose or Riley have show a lot either
As for Perez, he's had one year where he was a good pitcher. Every other year he's been a much worse than average pitcher in the major leagues. I'm inclined to trust the 3 years he's stunk more than the one year he was good, especially so because the one year he was good occurred when he had an unusually low number of hits off of him, which are much more likely to be partially explained by defense or luck.
Anonymous wrote:it would take TWO Gibbons' to equal the potential of Edwin Jackson.
get ready for a BIG year from Kurt Ainsworth...he'll be the ace of the staff by June.
Well lets take in consideration that Perez never had a full injury free season with the Braves. So in 2 years with the Dodgers he has been dominant once and irregular the other. He was quite dominant in 2002 and i saw a lot of the games and it wasnt luck. The next year he´´s had very good games followed by disasters. Leads me to believe he ´s better than last year. A good number 3 pitcher
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