kab21 wrote:RDD15 wrote:The presence of Austin Romine is the one thing that makes me doubt Montero sticking at catcher the most.
I dont think that you would see a situation where Montero winds up as an everyday DH that catches occasionally for a couple of reasons.
1. If Montero is DH'ing, then the Yankees would still have to carry a backup catcher in case the starting catcher is injured in a game that Montero is DHing. That backup catcher would almost certainly be vastly superior to Montero defensively, and on days that the starter needs rest, they would probably go with the guy that is better defensively.
2. If Montero's defense is already questionable, it is only going to deteriorate if he is an everyday DH that catches on occasion. It makes no sense for the Yanks to put him in the lineup at catcher once a week and watch him try to work the rust off in games.
romine is a nice prospect but there really isn't a lot of offensive upside. If Montero develops into that .900+ OPS bat and his defense is tolerable they'll keep him at catcher at least 50% of the time and worry about Romine later. Personally I see a 50/50 split with Posada and Montero at catcher as long as Posada is with the team.
Montero is 20. If you think Montero's defense can only deteriorate then I have no idea how any prospect improves (playing only 50% of the time at catcher will not be detrimental to his catching skills). I doubt that Montero is still a catcher at 30 but if he can play there for 5 years that has huge value as a fantasy prospect. Especially considering that he'll be DH'ing on his non-catching days and in the lineup almost everyday.
You are shooting holes in my opinion that do not exist. I said that if Montero DH's almost every day, then his catching skills will deteriorate and he wont be viable as a once per week catcher if there is another backup catcher on the roster.
Posada will turn 39 years old this year. If he and Montero are ever to split time 50-50, it will be for a year (2011) at most, but I doubt that ever comes to pass. Posada wont be catching 80 games when he is 41 years old in 2012. Posada can not beat Father Time.
Romine might not be an elite hitting prospect, but I feel that it is most likely that Montero struggles to maintain catcher eligibility throughout his career. He might get a couple of years, but he will move sooner than later. But the reality is that all we have are opinions, unless we happen to be part of Yankee management, which i highly doubt is the case.
Back to the original topic at hand though. Either Posey or Montero. Even if Montero loses his catching eligibility, he will be valuable as a hitter elsewhere. If he maintains catching eligibility, you hit the jackpot. Posey is more of a solid bet to keep at catcher, Montero is the high ceiling option.