Most Accurate MLB Experts Past 4 Years
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SHOCKandAWE wrote:By dividing the gap of homers by teams you get a unit per point.
for instance in your league it take 10 homers to gain 1 point in the homers cat. So by just having A-rod on your team all year he would give you 4.7 points higher in the homer cat than not having him. Like I said before there are many more factors, however this is a simple way of explaining it to you. Let me break downyour units first.
It takes 10 homers to gain 1 point in the HR cat.
It takes .0017 to increase 1 point in the AVG ct.(harder to predict)
It take 21 Rbi to gain 1 point in your runs cat.
It takes 22 runs to gain 1 point in the rbi cat.
It takes 12 sb to gain 1 point in the sb cat
Now lets see what A-Rod is really worth:
HR is worth 4.7 points
AVG cant be determined because its the team average. Cumulative is tougher to use.
RBI is worth 5.6
Runs is worth 5.6
SB is 1.6
If you add this up then A-ROD is valued at 17.5 roto points in your league. The key is to do this for all your players to get a ranking. Once you get a ranking you can see how a player helps or hurts you team if he is plugged in. They can also have negative points per cat. Take a guy like Pierre who hits no homers. He may have a negative point total. So if you have a spreadsheet you can determine th league average and base it on this.
SHOCKandAWE wrote:EugeneStyles:
$42 Curt Schilling
$36 Pedro Martinez
$33 Mark Prior
$30 Mike Mussina
$29 Kerry Wood
$42 Eric Gagne
$27 Billy Wagner
$26 Octavio Dotel
$24 Keith Foulke
$20 John Smoltz
$32 Todd Helton
$25 Jason Giambi
$23 Jim Thome
$23 Carlos Delgado
$21 Richie Sexson
$21 Derrek Lee
$33 Alfonso Soriano
$19 Bret Boone
$17 Jeff Kent
$13 Orlando Cabrera
$13 Marcus Giles
$32 Alex Rodriguez
$24 Nomar Garciaparra
$22 Edgar Renteria
$20 Derek Jeter
$19 Miguel Tejada
$21 Eric Chavez
$20 Scott Rolen
$14 Mike Lowell
$14 Morgan Ensberg
$13 Hank Blalock
$14 Javy Lopez
$14 Ivan Rodriguez
$11 Jorge Posada
$12 Mike Piazza
$9 Jason Kendall
*Funny how everone thinks that catchers are worth much more. Is the top catcher worth the same as the 50th best OF??
$36 Albert Pujols
$32 Gary Sheffield
$31 Carlos Beltran
$30 Barry Bonds
$28 Vladimir Guerrero*
*Vlad was ranked lower because I lowered his projections due to concerns with health.
dannahann wrote:I'll warn you right off that most of these cats had tight bunchings and then huge gaps. The pointbreaks wouldn't have been evenly distrubuted.
RUNS 1088-852 (236)
RBI 1075-804 (271)
HR 307-213 (94)
SB 156-50 (106)
AVG .297-.273 (.024)
WIN 100-79 (21)
SVE 119-36 (83)
K's 1310-951 (359)
ERA 3.27-4.46 (1.19)
WHP 1.18-1.33 (.015)
LBJackal wrote:The system itself seems to be flawed, and so do your projections. Curt Schilling worth that much more than Prior and Pedro? Mike Lowell and Morgan Ensberg tied in value Lowell is probably going to be the 2nd or 3rd best 3B behind A-Rod and maybe Rolen. Ensberg is probably 9th or 10th best 3B.
Making rankings that are based on replacement cost, position scarcity, batting trends, 3 year averages, age, etc are way too complicated for any normal person to compute. I'll leave that up to Xeifrank and Hootie. If somebody found a proven formula to come up with dollar values, I'd be interested in seeing it. Xeifrank, got anything like that? Although personally I'm pretty convinced that no formula can't calculate a player's worth. There are way too many factors, and I doubt anybody has the amount of time it would take to come up with and consider them all.
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