Love this guy. Last year in the minors, he posted a .946 OPS as a speedy leadoff hitter (.335/.431/.515), and put up a 65/89 BB/K ratio in 505 PA. Given consistent playing time, he'll post up a 13/30 pace and help your AVG and runs.
500 AB: .290 AVG, 83 R, 10 HR, 45 RBI, 23 SB (4th/5th OF numbers)
650 AB (full season pace): .290 AVG, 108 R, 13 HR, 58 RBI, 30 SB (3rd OF numbers)
500 AB + 150 AB of replacement OF: .283 AVG, 98 R, 13 HR, 60 RBI, 25 SB (replacement OF = .267/65/12/65/10)
He won't get those 650 AB, but if you play him right, he can be Fred Lewis+ this year, and if you play him excellently he should be a top value pickup. Of course, if you just pick him up and let him sit in your starting lineup every day you won't get much out of him. But down the road, SpecialFNK is right on with the Craw comparison.
For 2010 or 2011 he has a reasonable shot at .305/.370/.475 with 110/17/65/42 in the counting stats...very Crawford-esque at best and Victorino+ at worst. Fowler had more power in the minors (.452 SLG to Craw's .400) and better BB/K rates (11.8%/23.6% to Craw's 5.4%/17.7%), and Fowler should get a ton of doubles and triples in spacious Coors. Craw, however, had a better SB rate (77% to 68%), so that's one thing Dexter needs to work on.
Rocinante2: you know
Rocinante2: its easy to dismiss the orioles as a bad team
ofanrex: go on
Rocinante2: i'm done