daullaz wrote:Man City win, or Hamburg Win/Draw.
Ray, any insight?
This only counts for the second leg, not the entire tie right? Hamburg go into this leg up 3-1, FWIW.
Anyway, this is going to be very tricky to predict. City play much better at home, but the problem with betting for them is they're volatile (they even lost 3-1 at home last weekend to a team that don't score well away). For the most part, they'll field a healthy squad, but they don't have their best striker not named Robinho (Craig Bellamy) and I'm afraid Mark Hughes can get his tactics wrong. Another problem is they have to push forward, which plays into Hamburg's hands carving them up on the counter and if not, they're a technically superior side (they beat City on lousy set-piece defending). So, they'll definitely have to keep better possession this time around.
I'd tip City tentatively to win the second leg, more or less because of the extra rest Robinho received. They have to win 2-0 to progress on away goals, 3-1 to force extra time.