Quit worrying about "what if this goes wrong?". Once you accept that things will absolutely go wrong for you, it'll be a lot easier to chill out (applies to life in general too, incidentally). If you're knowledgeable about the players and decently experienced with fantasy baseball, you most certainly have the capability to break from a plan and draft on the fly. Preparation is good, but if you overthink and overanalyze you're going to end up screwing yourself. You won your league in both the last two years, so it's safe to assume you're, you know...pretty good at this, lol. Trying to predict exactly how a draft will go is like guessing at pitches in the batter's box. You'll hit on it once in a while and get very good wood on it, but 99% of the time it's an exercise in futility. The best course of action is to recognize what's given to you, adjust your swing, and do what you can with it.
On Friday I came well prepared to my live draft with novices, but things went REALLY wrong, REALLY fast when guys started drafting pitchers like crazy in the first three rounds. 7 arms gone in the first 22 picks. I adjusted to it and still ended up with the best pitching staff. If you're drafting with people experienced with FB, the screwups will be much less drastic but will still be there, like closers going early, or 5 SS's going in one round, or a guy ahead of you reaching for the last good player at a position before a big drop-off, or a couple guys hoarding MI's/C's, or the 3B trends fast approaching your little-known late round 3B sleeper, or guys reaching for SPs you have ranked behind a couple arms you want 3 rounds from now, or a guy being even bolder than you on a bold pick you planned. Et cetera...as the mantra goes, hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
Also, do mocks. Best against humans.
Rocinante2: you know
Rocinante2: its easy to dismiss the orioles as a bad team
ofanrex: go on
Rocinante2: i'm done