For someone who threw 184 strikeouts last year and finished the season rather nicely, he doesn't seem to get much love. He seems to be a consensus late round grab, where he seems like a bargain if he repeats the above numbers. What are the odds of him giving you those K numbers and a sub 4.00 ERA on a pretty improved Royals team?
His back problems earlier in camp are a little scary, as well as his fastball which has been getting absolutely hammered around the park. I don't think he will get to 210 IP again this season so the K numbers will be a little lower but his ratio's are about what I would expect. Maybe a slightly higher ERA, but around 4.10 is what I'm expecting.
I think you will see more of the same. I don't think he will decline much just yet.
Good source of K's. Not a great WHIP. I would guess 14 W would be about his max this year even though I think the Royals will be a little improved, questions in the bullpen.
I think the Royals are on the right track but still have some ground to cover before they are ready to contend. They need their impact power hitters and solid pitching prospects to pan out and contribute before they are ready to turn any heads. Just my opinion
I have him projected right at 4.0 ERA (could go a bit higher, could be a bit lower) with decent K's. He's a guy I enjoy picking if he slips far enough or if I'm thin on SP after the middle rounds. If I am a bit shallow at SP I'd rather take someone steady like that than risk on a young upside guy. However, I don't reach for a guy like that with little upside and if I have a solid SP staff I much prefer to take the higher upside guys there. A Gil Meche won't win you a league, but getting a risk/reward young guy might.