BronXBombers51 wrote:Curt's five most comparable pitchers on BRef are Kevin Brown, Bob Welch, Orel Hershiser, Freddie Fitzsimmons and John Smoltz. None of them are yet in the Hall of Fame.
I'd say it's a pretty strong bet that Smoltz will be.
Under Bill James' Hall of Fame Monitor
(100 being likely to the Hall, 130 being a virtual lock) of pitchers not yet eligible for the hall, Clemens scores 331, RJ 322, Maddux 256, Pedro 202, Mariano 200, Glavine 176, Schilling 171, Smoltz 167, Hoffman 157, John Franco 124, Mussina 121, Jose Mesa 113, Billy Wagner 108, Andy Pettite 102, and Kevin Brown 93.
The scores of some of the other names mentioned are: David Cone 103 and Vida Blue 114.
Now, the measure is an attempt to predict who will be inducted into the Hall, not necessarily who deserves to be. But it provides a decent glimpse of why people might say Schilling is a lock because, based on what seems to motivate the voters, he is.
0-3 to 4-3. Worst choke in the history of baseball. Enough said.