Matthias wrote:Well, in my league, we count AVG, OBP, and TB, and I think his calculated value was -$5. But he probably fares better in a std 5x5. Even then, though, I hate having these kinds of players on my team. They're so excruciating to follow. They'll thrill you with grabbing 7 bags over 3 days and then do 0-fer, 0-fer, 0-fer, and you keep hear grumblings of benching or getting dropped in the order. Just a headache I'd rather not deal with.
I just took a look. Using J35J's projections, he comes to -$3; using CBS' projections (we have some custom cats and so it's easiest to get projections from them) he's worth -$10.80. And using the calculator on lastplayerpicked and approximately our settings he's worth $0.
Although I just checked; in a 12-team league with 5 OF'ers and 1 Util and 5x5 settings, lastplayerpicked says his value is -$4. So apparently our settings weren't completely responsible; he just kinda sucks.
But I just put in h0rt's (hopeful) projection of .265 / 10 HRs / 100 Rs / 65 RBI / 40 SB's; then he comes out as an $18 player in 5x5, just under Rios and just over Crawford, Dunn, B.J. Upton, Michael Young, Jay Bruce, Hunter Pence, and Joey Votto.
Somehow, though, I'm sticking with everyone else's projections. I don't see him getting that many runs; I don't see him getting that many RBI's; and I don't even know if he can hit .265. And even for steals, as the saying goes, you can't steal first.
And to give you an idea of the sensitivity, if you put in "a little less" for his counting stats and give him 83 Runs (still too many IMO), 50 RBIs (also probably too many), 7 HRs, 33 steals, and leave him batting .265, his value drops to $6 and he's in the likes of Jeff Francouer, Paul Konerko, Nick Swisher, Randy Winn, and Mark DeRosa.
0-3 to 4-3. Worst choke in the history of baseball. Enough said.