4Pack wrote:Been playing H2H (normally standard 5X5) for 8 years. While I go into each draft prepared for the most part...I normally do not pay a ton of attention to projections. I would say I draft based on 70% name value/30% projections. My standard routine has been to draft offense the first 5-6 rounds...then draft SP's for the next 3-4 rounds. It has worked well and I have won my league the past 2 seasons (regular season and WS).
Well...I am more determined than ever to go for the threepeat. Soooo...I went back to the past 2 season and figured out my team season average's per category (i.e. 10 batters..250 HR's total..25 HR per batter average, etc. etc.). I then have proceeded to do a few mock drafts with those numbers in mind as to what I want my team's final numbers too look like.
To my suprise...when I draft based more or less a 40/60 split name value/projections...I have been able to improve on the average numbers from years past while still drafting a couple stud SP's with the first 5 picks (drafting SP's in the first 5 rounds had been almost taboo for me).
Do you think that putting more emphasis on projections is the way to go? On paper...it looks great...but...it makes me nervous considering I have had success with the way I have been doing it until this season.
If you are winning then I'd try to stick with what is working for you. Every league is different and manager dynamics can vary greatly.
I think name value can be valuable especially in the later rounds. Let's say you draft Chris Carpenter and Kyle Lohse with your pick 200 and 201. Luckily for you, both pitchers on May 31st have phenomenal numbers and you want to trade one to shore up your offense. Which pitcher do you think will get you a higher return?
In the end, every league is different so as long as you know yours then you should do fine.