GiantsFan14 wrote: tiggis wrote:
BitterDodgerFan wrote:morrow lacks the control to have a 1.19 whip. i say 1.30+ whip is more likely.
Last year he had a 1.15 whip.
Last years line:
Did he lose his control this winter? Or doth we speak from amongst our rear?
it's basically impossible to have a 4.73 BB/9 and sustain a WHIP anywhere near that low. He had an unsustainably low 5.56 H/9 due to an .218 BABIP. Once that regresses he'll end up with a whip around 1.35 IMO. It'd take some pretty big leaps in control for him to return to last years level.
BABIP is not as valuable a stat for predicting closers performance.
I think the stats show he lacks control as he tires, not control for 1 inning (He has had trouble in games last year with low blood sugar - Type 1 diabetes which they now say he has better control of).
His line when he was just closing is more like 1.78era/.78whip with 23ks and 8 walks over 16.8 innings.
Even factoring in a return to 3.0 babip if his other stats stay steady he would not jump up to 1.30+
You might end up being right by the end of the year, but we also might be seeing a very special pitcher who was made to be a closer finally find his nitch.