Yoda wrote:If the following players get picked at their spot in other drafts then I won't get them for sure:
2.11 Quentin - there were safer players available: Upton, Manny, Lee, Vlad, etc
3.8 Kemp - I wouldn't take him over Vlad, Crawford, Markakis. Maybe a round or two early.
3.11 Pedroia - Too much risk. I'd rather have a player prove me wrong this early in the draft.
4.11 Dunn - never liked him and never will. To me, there is not much more upside compared to Delgado, Thome, Reynolds, etc.
5.2 Billingsley - would have been there in rounds 7, 8.
5.11 Stephen Drew - Tulo was taken in the next round (also too early for my taste) but there is just too much risk to take him this early.
6.2 Alexei Ramirez - I'm not a believer. See Pedroia.
7.3 Aubery Huff - coming off a monster season and I won't pay for it. He can easily finish below other 3B: Zimmerman, Figgins, Cantu, Beltre, etc who were picked after round 9.
7.7 John Lackey - pitched well after coming back from his injuries but still a lot of risk. Has a ton of mileage on his 29 yo arm.
7.11 Vernon Wells - you are paying for his name and not much else at this point. Much better options were available in the next 3-4 rounds.
8.2 Bruce - at this point of the draft people take some chances but I won't.
8.12 Davis - see Bruce.
9.7 Milledge - Finished great but he also finished great in 07. Flashes of brilliance reminds me of Rickey Weeks.
10.6 Joba - uncertain role and his IP will most definitely be limited in 09. Ridiculous upside but there were better options. The team took him as a #2 pitcher and that is way too risky.
10.11 Yovani - will also be limited in 09. There were better options available.
11.9 Price - see Joba. But I expect all these guys to go too early.
12.10 Aviles - reasons have been covered by others already.
13.4 Alex Gordon - probably would have been available a few rounds later.
13.6 Y. Escobar - not sure how he is 2 rounds better than OCab for instance. No power and no speed from MI is pretty useless to me.
I'll try to do picks I liked later.
Good list, and I made the Kemp pick. Honestly I hated that pick. There was no one on the board I felt comfortable taking. I think Kemp has by far the most upside out of the bunch that you mentioned him with and that's why I took him. My plan was to go offense there and then with an ace in the fourth, but that fell apart when the 4 pitchers I wanted one of went off the board. In hindsight, I wish I would have taken a pitcher and then I could have probably drafted Kemp or another OF (or stuck with Phillips) on the way back. Oh well...
Another of my picks that I'm not sure about was Youk. I'm just not sure what to expect next year, but I felt like 3B kind of drops off a bit (not too comfortable with Chipper) so I took him. I really felt like I liked the other side of the draft most of the way through it. The players I wanted all seemed to go 5 picks after me or 5 picks before...
I'll try to go through the draft later, but of my team (#8) the picks I really liked were Posada (could easily be a top 5 catcher), Winn (had him ahead of about 25 OFs that went earlier), and then basically my entire staff, I really like it... Beckett, Sheets, Garza, Hughes, and Gregg especially though. I'm really not crazy about the offense but the more I look at it the more I think it will be very competitive. I'm not sure what it is about the group that I don't like.