DbacksRback wrote:MasterX1918 wrote:Cameron Maybin. If he starts he's guaranteed 50-60 steals.
Id like to hear your reasons behind this...he's never even had 30 in a season
I'll speak for him as to what he is most likely thinking. First, you have to remember the minor league season is shorter so you can't just look at it into a context of one season. In his minor league career he has 1,093 AB's w/ 73 SB's, which if he started in the majors he woud most likely get roughly 600+ AB's in the lead off position (I'm assuming that's the posters thought as well, since if he didn't lead off things would be different). If assuming that, his SB's on average would come out to 40+ based on his minor league stats. But that doesn't take into account that he always hit in the middle of the line up, in the majors it would be different as a lead off man and be more required to run. Therefor its not out of question that he could run more than he did in the minors and get 50+ SB. It's optimistic of course, but it isn't unreasonal as long as he has decent ratios and leads off most of the year.
Also, in 81 AB so far he has 9 SB, small sample size of course but he has shown his has the speed and instincts to run on guys in the majors.