OK, here's where we're at:
People left: myself, Inuk, Yoda, Aussie, teddy, janitor, show. 3 are mafia, 3 are townies, 1 is ISK.
If we lynch a townie today, we're left with 3 mafia, 2 townies & the ISK. Tonight, the mafia take out a townie or the ISK, leaving us with 3 mafia & 2 non-mafia (either ISK/townie or 2 townies). Even if the ISK takes out a mafia himself, that leaves us with 2 mafia and 2 non-mafia. Tell me if I've got this wrong, but I think the upshot is that if we don't hit a mafia today, we've lost.
Reviewing what has happened so far:Day 1, dclark lynched
. Voted for by Aussie, KCollins, Snakes, Inuk, wake, Yoda & Mookie.
Since then, KC, Snakes, wake & Mookie have been cleared. I don't think the mafia are daft enough to have all 3 of them be part of the lynching on day 1, so I'd expect at most 2 of Aussie, Inuk & Yoda to be mafia, and perhaps only one.Night 1, mafia killed Mookie; ISK killed wake
. Mookie came as no surprise, but we have no clue why the ISK picked on wake. I don't think there's much to help us from the events of night 1.Day 2, Snakes lynched
. Voted for by Aussie, Yoda, me, himself (
) and jfg. Snakes & jfg are cleared, leaving 3 of us left. Again, would all 3 of the mafia be involved in the lynching? Unlikely. Since I know I'm innocent, I expect one of Aussie or Yoda to be mafia, and perhaps both.
While we're looking at the lynchings, Janitor, teddy & TheShow didn't vote for either of the guys who were lynched. I'd expect at least one of them to be mafia as well, trying to keep their hands free of bloodstains!Night 2, mafia killed KCollins, ISK killed jfg
. I don't blame the ISK for going after jfg, for reasons I said before. Why did the mafia take out KCollins? I said all along that I thought he was likely not to be mafia, and that's proved to be correct. TheJanitor, especially, called me out for doing that, whilst voting for KC himself all along. We're the only two people left alive who have been linked with him in any obvious way, although others have said they thought he was innocent as well. Maybe the mafia want me & Janitor to pick up where we left off earlier, for one of us to cast a vote on the other one, so that they can swoop in, lynch him and win the game. Well, I'm not clearing Janitor from suspicion, but there's no way I'm going to rush in putting a vote on him with so much at stake.
So here are my thoughts on those people who are left:
Inuk - he is so hard to read. Always seems helpful. I said yesterday that I thought he was either a good townie or a great mafia. That's still how I feel.
Yoda - led the lynching for Snakes. I can't blame him too much, because everything he said made sense. One of only two people to have voted for both lynchings. Said twice that we could vote him off today if he was wrong - on one hand, it seems odd that a mafia would say that, but on the other hand, maybe he's counting on me thinking that.
Aussie - Playing his usual game, as far as I can tell. Voted for both those lynched - but was first both times. Would the mafia take that risk? Snakes said he suspected him, but never said why. The Show has voted for him today.
Teddy - Was in the top section of my list of suspects earlier on, when he went from trying his new tactic of posting a lot more, and then going back to hardly posting at all. But then came back and has been a bit more active since. Voted for The Show on Day 2. Really not sure about teddy at the moment.
Janitor - I've suspected him from Day 1 because of his persistent voting for KC. Still high on my list of suspects, but the fact that the mafia killed KC makes me pause. It kind of feels like they want me to put a vote on TheJanitor, which is why I won't at the moment.
TheShow - Really uncomfortable with the fact that he's thrown a vote out so early on a day when we have to be so careful. Having not voted at all on Days 1 & 2, he has a go at us for jumping on people too fast...and then does exactly that today! Surely a townie wouldn't throw out a vote so early on such a crucial day?