NZ Eff wrote:
DSheppard wrote:NZ Eff called the kinsler thing bonkers earlier because you can hit with anyone in front of you. But its not his hitting that has had a crazy decline, its his rbis.
Hamilton hit .350 with RISP before the ASB and he's hit .230 with RISP since. End of story.
Which is.. luck. You think he lost his clutchness? We already said he was getting a flukish ammount of rbis with good luck before the break and bad luck in them post break (the .360 for 2 weeks with 0 rbi), the statistical representation of that (batting with risp) is fine to quote, but its already been brought in the discussion. by you I think..
Im simply saying that the people in front of him losing 60 points in OBP from the designated cutoff point has an obvious impact on his rbis, and is a significant factor among others. It clearly is.
And that a .920 to .880 pre/post split is not some tragic fall, even if its made to look worse by the RISP splits, his lineup, etc. RISP batting doesnt have much statistical evidence to be much more than a fluke. All in all for the season his RISP splits were above average, but not too crazy.
Look at the hitters in the middle of the texas lineup for the past decade. Michael Young put up 100 rbis in the #2 spot a couple times... theres no reason to think hamilton isnt capable of 120 in the #3 spot again. Which reminds me of tex, who early in his career put up those monster home/away splits you referenced earlier before reversing them for a year. Hows he working out outside arlington?
Anyway this is all getting very convoluted. Pass on him in the third if you want.