The Handsome One wrote:mweir145 wrote:I should have said they've been one of the better teams in the league when looking at run differential (the main factor that goes into a team's future wins and losses), I apologize.
That is funny, because run differential is also the main factor in determining current wins and losses, and that is where the Blue Jays have been nothing more than mediocre.
5th in the AL in 3rd order standings (it uses AEQR and AEQRA), 8th in the majors. I guess it depends on your definition of mediocre, but that really isn't that bad for a team that is hitting for a .700 OPS with RISP.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/stati ... ndings.php
By using this instead of regular standings, I am taking the luck out of the equation and showing how well these teams have actually played. It's a much better way of predicting a team's future success because a team's luck can't be counted on to stay the same.