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Ranking the Rookies/Sophmores

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Re: Ranking the Rookies/Sophmores

Postby Yoda » Thu Jul 24, 2008 12:00 am

Omaha Red Sox wrote:I find it odd how quickly we fantasy BBers get off the boat on these guys like Pelfrey and Buchholz (not comparing the 2 talent-wise).


Instant gratification mostly and grass is always greener on the other side. I find it much easier to ditch a struggling pitcher though. They only have 30 or so chances and every bad start is much more magnified than a guy going 0-4 a few times.
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Re: Ranking the Rookies/Sophmores

Postby PlayingWithFire » Thu Jul 24, 2008 3:44 am

I'll comment on those I know a bit

Hitters:

Headley, not a superstar if he sticks in SD. But will be a top 10 3B one day, relatively soon. 09 or 10
J. Upton Superstar one day, just waiting to figure out his contact problem and then bam, Carlos Beltran plus.
Carlos Gomez
Joyce-old player skill guy, could age quick but can be a late power bat
C. Davis
Aviles-don't see how he's going to consistently make contact in the majors. Think Mark Reynolds and Tony Batista, if not as good.
Tulo-he's going to be fine
Delmon Young-he's going to be fine
Butler-healthy Moises Alou minus the speed? Don't have a better comp handy at this time. Will hit for power sometimes but mostly a good contact hitter with average power for 1B/DH
David Murphy
Matt Clement
Pence
Bruce
Bourn-speedy guy, I think Joey Gathright. Strikes out way too much to hit for any kind of average IMO but he's fast and he knows how to use it a lot better than Gathright.
Pedroia-David Eckstein with better defense and more power.
Votto
Gordon-Going to be a star
Fukudome
Escobar
Loney-Sean Casey plus power, superstar.


Pitchers:

Pelfrey-#5 starter on a middle of the road team
Ubaldo
Volstad-#2 starter
Hughes-#1 starter if he comes back healthy
Gio Gonzalez-#2, don't see control issue ever going away completely. And he isn't going to be Randy Johnson and be "effectively wild". His stuff isn't THAT good.
Gallaraga
Buchholz
Scherzer-Durability a concern, if he can stay healthy as a SP he could be a #2-3 with good K. If not, best case is Jon Rauch.
Bailey
Kershaw-superstar, best pitching prospect period
Jurrjens
Parra-going to be a decent #3 when healthy
Gallardo-#2 if comes back good
Smith
Cueto
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Re: Ranking the Rookies/Sophmores

Postby bigwords » Thu Nov 13, 2008 5:46 pm

Pelfrey's K/9 in 2008 was 4.93. Pretty pathetic.

He'll need to be extraordinary in limiting walks and keeping home runs in the ballpark to provide ERA/W value with a strikeout rate that bad. He throws sinkerballs like Wang, so it's possible, but his ceiling as a fantasy pitcher is limited so I'd rather put my chips elsewhere.
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Re: Ranking the Rookies/Sophmores

Postby tah161 » Sun Nov 16, 2008 1:15 am

Like someone said in earlier, what about Kemp.

Eaisly the best of all of them. He should put of better power numbers this year with a few less steals. If Manny signs with Dodgers look for Kemp to bat third with Manny clean-up.

Kemp is a star. He will be a 30/30 guy within the next couple years and look for him to be a big run producer.

Hopefully he will take in everything Manny has to offer.


By the way he allready one of the best CF's in the league.
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