mrburns wrote:Maybe you didn't look REALLY hard at the game. I was there. He pitched fine. 2 of his 3 HR's were given up to some guy name Vlad, both solo-shots. Last time I checked, Guerrero is a decent hitter. His 2 run HR to Aybar was given up in the 8th, when he was completely gassed. He threw 112 pitches.
He retired the side 1-2-3 in the 2nd,5th and 6th, striking out the side in the 5th. In the 4th and 7th, when he gave up his solo-shots to Vlad he retired the other 3 batters in each inning. The only batter to reach base in the 3rd was on a bunt single. Hardly his fault.
So....lets review. He gives up 2 HR's to one of the best hitters in baseball, and another to a guy in the 8th when he is gassed. All in a HR-friendly park. He gives up only 2 BB's and K's 7, and has a WHIP of around 1.00. 74 of his 112 pitches were for K's. Of his 6 hits, 3 were in the 8th inning, all AFTER his 100th pitch, 2 other hits were solo-shots to Vlad, and the other hit was a bunt single. One of the 2 BB's was an intentional BB. How horribly-pitched a game is that?
And LOOK again. His 2008 HOME stats are almost an EXACT carbon-copy of 2007 and 2006. There is nothing wrong with his mechanics, it is all in his head. I suspect the reason he is being sent to AAA is to wake him up and help him focus on the road.
Vlad? Are you serious? He's still pretty good but this year he's nowhere near hitter he used to be. He has 13 HR on the season. That barely ties him with several other players just inside the top 50 this year. He's also batting about 40 pts below his career BA. No this is not the Vlad who was one of the best hitters in baseball, he's merely a bit above average this year.
As for the ballpark did you know it's only 11th in the majors this year in HR rate and 17th in Runs scored on the Park Factor scale (check it out on ESPN). Also don't you think the Phillies having one of the top offenses in baseball might have something to do with inflating the home ballpark numbers some? No matter how you try to massage the numbers 3 HR is still 3 HR. He's just lucky he didn't have men on base. His ERA for the game was over 4.50. If he had nothing left at as you say he should have come out of the game, that he didn't was a mistake of not admitting it to the manager and instead staying in to give up another HR. The Phillies do have one of the top bullpens in baseball why should he have to stay in the game at that point? Paint it however you want the end result is all that matters. It wasn't nearly as good as previous home starts.
Note that I didn't say it was as bad as his road games I said "he was headed in the wrong direction at home," pertaining to his last start. 3 HR in a game illustrates that pretty clearly no matter who hit them. You want to throw out the HR because of who or when they were hit, fine then throw out his game vs Volquez at home and call it a fluke. The point of that statement is you can't selectively take the good and ignore the bad. BTW, you don't see their other starters at the same rate at home this year. Phillies pitchers at home this year: Moyer - 7 HR, Eaton - 4 HR, Kendrick - 5 HR, Hamels - 9 HR, Myers - 11 HR. I guess since HR hit by above average players in decline don't count so Myers is really at the same rate as Hamels??? or do you want to throw out other HR too?
And comparing his stats this year with last year? You're joking right? He pitched almost all as a RP last year and he's only started this year. Those are completely different situations, you can't realistically compare them as if they're the same.
I've been harping on the home road splits for Myers myself, but his last home start most definitely deviated from that to some extent. Better to send him to AAA now then to see him further regress at home too.