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The G.O.A.T. wrote:0 reason he shouldn't have a sub 3 era? Ummm anytime you have a GB% of 53 and a K/9 > 10 you are doing something right. That combination is a devasting weapon.
acon44 wrote:Here's the thing, and I think especially people who haven't done fantasy baseball for longer probably don't realize as much. It is MUCH harder for a control specialist type of pitcher to succeed in baseball. Laffey was doing well because his control was very very sharp during that run. The problem is that he throws 86-90 mph on average. So while his control is pinpoint, he can shut teams down, as can anybody really can who can paint corners. The thing is that there just are not many Maddux/Glavine type pitchers out there. As soon as these guys lose their control for a period of time, and that 88mph fastball is left over the plate, I think you can imagine what happens when a ML hitter gets a piece of it. A power arm like Volquez, can get away with making more mistakes as its much harder to hit a 98mph fastball right over the plate then an 88 one. In general 9/10 times I will not pick up an unproven pitcher that is hot who cannot throw hard, they are just much much less likely to continue their success.
A maddux type pitcher is one in a million, and while there are similar guys that pop up and maintain respectable numbers with a weak arm, I would not touch one unless they can show me they can maintain their control for at least a full year, or more. Volquez coming down to earth may mean letting up 2-5 er in a game a few times for a stretch, where as somebody like Laffey means 8er as we have seen now once already(and I bet some more of those are coming). I don't think enough people look into what kind of stuff a guy has, if somehow an unproven guy has a 2 era through 5 starts but throws 87-91 range, I would let somebody else take their chance with him. It may work out once, but in the end it will hurt you more often.
The G.O.A.T. wrote:Really they aren't the only stats out there? You mean there are more? Wow and to think I had no idea that there was this large wide world of stats out there.
When you don't let the ball get hit into the air you are going to create a lower HR rate. I don't see too many HR's hit off a GB. Also a .270 BABIP isn't awful by any means. Watch his starts and you can look and see batters aren't comfortable in the box against them. Like hitters not all pitchers will conform to have a uniform BABIP.
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