I'd like to get some thoughts on this strategy ... it makes sense to me, but what do I know?
Basically, I'm looking at a system that devalues stolen bases and looking for draft bargains accordingly. I'm trying to filter out players that get a lot of their value from steals and boost players that deliver everything but steals.
I'm aiming to fill my team with as many guys that can reasonably deliver a line of:
25-30+ home runs
I'm aiming to not overpay for stolen bases and to avoid guys who are deeply deficient in one of these categories (for example, an Andruw Jones or Adam Dunn type who will sink your average).
Here are some of the sort of guys I'm looking for
Obviously, there are some big stars there, but they all display the kind of four-category balance I'm looking for, and there isn't an elite base-stealer among them.
The idea is to find four-category balance rather than category specialists. In other words, you don't need 50 HR out of your 1B if you're getting 40 from your middle infield. You don't need a SS who scores 125 runs if you're getting 300 from your outfield.
I chose to devalue steals because, frankly, there is no such thing as a legitimate under-the-radar five-category threat. The plan isn't to punt the category, either. I could see a late-round flier or mid-season trade on a stolen-base specialist that could be plugged in only if there is a nice opportunity to gain a few points with a few steals.
So, can it work? And who are some good targets under such a strategy?
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