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Charbear wrote:What I'd like to know is do some/most/few of you with access to PFM actually use it during your auction or draft?
jfg wrote:You have to be careful not to wait too long though. ... I get the players I want above their ADP but not too far above.
Steve-o wrote:Charbear wrote:What I'd like to know is do some/most/few of you with access to PFM actually use it during your auction or draft?
Nope. The PFM doesn't take into account the average draft position so you would end up taking guys way way earlier than you would need to. For example, PECOTA thinks Milledge is 8th round value (or better). If you took him in the 8th round, you'd be missing out on someone who was perceived to have value in the eighth round, and still be able to take Milledge in Round 18-20. That's why ADP is so crucial in drafting. It's more about when you can obtain value that obtaining the value.
Here's a fairly decent example of what you should be doing.
Charbear wrote:Great info and input. Thanks to all who replied.
Does anyone use the PFM, with inflation, during their auction. I can see where that would be a great benefit based on who has been taken, the $$$ spent, position scarcity, playing time, etc. I've used similar programs in football and basketball.
Thoughts? Experiences? Recommendations?
Great site. The Forums are tremendous!
jfg wrote:You have to be careful not to wait too long though. I usually average out PECOTA and Forecaster with a some of my own thoughts and that gives me a good cheat sheet that balances out PECOTA's craziness with Shandler's craziness and I get the players I want above their ADP but not too far above. It's not scientific but I like how it's worked.
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