chipper wrote:Whatever his minor league numbers say,
You know that minor league numbers are a decent map of what's most likely to happen in the majors?
If you're going to say he's going to walk more because he's super young, super talented etc you might as well say he's going to do it because he looks good in a uniform and helps old ladies cross the street.
Of course I know that minor league numbers are a decent map. But young hitters (which he is) learn patience over time. It's a bit early at age 19-24 (his minor and major league career), to write him off as someone that cannot and will not learn patience and improve his batting eye.
And like I said, just because the Oakland A's happen to believe that working counts and drawing walks are the most important factor in a good hitter, doesn't make it so.
Part of their preference for hitters like that, is derived from their budget restrictions: a) they can't usually afford the high priced homerun guys; b) because they can't afford to sign bigtime bats, they look for guys who can get on base a lot to propel their offense.
I'm not saying it's not a good thing to be able to take a walk, of course it's great. But it's not the end all in determining a hitters value, fantasy or real life.
kemper5 wrote:I mean walking 23 times in 651 AB's in o6' and then not doing much better in 07' is not going to cut it
Not sure how nearly doubling a number is not doing much better?