He is going to arbitration so I imagine there will be some bad blood involved between him and management so just keep that in mind.
People are down on him because his HRs came early in the year but to be fair he always had 20 HR power, just not the health to go with it.
The first half of his rookie year was just horrible, he mostly skipped AAA and was coming off a shoulder injury and probably should not have been in the majors.
In the second half of his rookie year he hit .308/.363/.503/.866 with 8 HR in 208 PA's.
In 2006 he was hitting .263/.309/.430/.739 with 5 HR's in 123 PA's before a week long slump and then an injury (collison at home plate).
In 2007 he exploded onto the scene with 15 HR's in April/May but then only hit 3 HRs in June/July. Then he rebounded for 8 HRs in Aug/Sept.
The secret to that line is that in June/July he was battling hip/back problems. I'd honestly pay for a repeat of last season, the bad streak offset the hot streak and the end result is about what you should expect.
I'll close with these stats.
2nd half of 2005 - 8 HR in 208 PA or 1 per 26 PA
2006 - 5 HR in 139 PA or 1 per 27.8 PA
2007 - 26 HR in 638 PA or 1 per 24.5 PA.
Last year was not some huge power spike for him. If he had hit at 1 per 27 PA he still would have hit 24 HR last year. The real fluke with Hardy was the first half of his rookie year, not the next 985 PA.
Last edited by Ender on Thu Feb 14, 2008 7:11 pm, edited 2 times in total.