bsblallstr wrote:Bedard and Hernandez could form the most formidable 1-2 punch in the game behind Webb and Haren and have the potential to be better given how young the two are and the upside of Hernandez, that said, Washburn, Silva, and Batista are not going to shake batters knees that much. I dont think their rotation is all that great, it is good all the way through, but it isnt anything to get excited about after those first two. I do believe getting Bedard for Jones was a good call. Sure Jones could be great someday, but I would always rather have proven major league talent than a guy who has a good minor league track record but not a major league one cause they dont always pan out.
I think whether you want "proven" versus "unproven" depends on where you are in the success cycle among other things. The Orioles are at least 4-5 years from being a contender. Bedard is less than 2 years from FA. He's indicated he'll take a serious look at other offers at that time. By the time the Orioles contend Bedard will be a 33-34 year old pitcher, IF he is even on the team and not injured. So, the Orioles' choice is risk that or get something that they have a better chance of being of greater value at that time.
Seattle, otoh, thinks they are closer to contending (I think they are wrong). Those "proven" players are more valuable to them than prospects. And taking a risk that they can win now with Bedard is a better bet than risking that they will still have the talent to contend by the time Jones makes a major contribution.
In addition to think that Seattle is wrong about where they are in the success cycle, I think they are wrong on the risk tradeoff with Jones and Bedard. Pitchers are inherently riskier, and Bedard has some higher risks built in from injury/durability. Jones, on the other hand, is hardly unproven. He's an incredible defender and about a sure thing contributor over the next 2-4 years as you can get from a prospect.
I hope the big Peter gets the hell out of the way.
"I don't want to play golf. When I hit a ball, I want someone else to chase it."