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stumpak wrote:High Heater wrote:cordscords wrote:Potential sapped by injuries, supporting cast, and RFK.
only problem is RFK isnt their home anymore, and the supporting cast got potentialy better this year.
This is the right answer. The new park can only be better than RFK. Johnson will put up good numbers WHEN HEALTHY, probably better than expected, although as mentioned he is rarely healthy. He is the Milton Bradley of 1Bs - when healthy has good value, but few league structures accomodate guys like this very well.
markj11 wrote:I watched a show on LTC or Discovery that documented the building of the new park. It showed why RFK was such a pitchers park. It basically showed a computer generated image that showed how the wind would swirl around the inside of the stadium since it was bowl shaped. Kinda created a vortex, the new stadium is open so this will not be the case. It was a pretty neat program, it showed that 4 seats were not put into the stadium that were in plans b/c they would not offer a good view.
talk show host wrote:This is what the park factor model that I’ve developed for PECOTA thinks, based on a host of factors like field dimensions, altitude, average temperature, and the like. All park factors are listed baseball-reference style, where 100 represents average.
Nats Park RFK 99.3 88.9
LHB Runs 98.9 93.8
LHB HR 101.1 88.5
RHB Runs 98.0 93.5
RHB HRBasically, we’re removing one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in baseball and replacing it with what looks like it should be a neutral park. Although Nats Park is a natural-grass field located close to sea level, which always represses run-scoring a bit, its friendlier dimensions should help the Nationals score an extra 30 or so runs this year. Left-handed hitters look like they will get most of the benefit. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=677
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