Bay is a good, young player, but 500 at-bats is an unknown. This is the lastest I've heard about him, from Baseball Prospectus, Under the Knife (by Will Carroll):
"I'm not trying to be cryptic, but I'm getting a lot of odd, nearly conflicting information on Jason Bay. A big part of the Brian Giles deal, Bay had shoulder surgery to correct a small SLAP tear in his throwing arm. Without going into specifics, I have yet to be able to confirm Bay's recovery--reports just haven't added up, or followed the normal labrum surgery timeframe. I'm following this one closely and would love for the Pirates to explain what's going on more clearly."
So he's young, unproven, and has a possible injury. Too risky to draft, in my opinion.
Roger Angell: I was talking with Bob Gibson and I said: 'Are you always this competitive?' He said: 'Oh, I think so. I got a three-year old daughter, and I've played about 500 games of tic-tac-toe with her and she hasn't beat me yet.'