AuburnTigers wrote:I see your reasoning, but I think 45+ may be stretching it for Julio. He gives up a lot of runs for a closer. If you say he gets 45+ saves then that puts him with Gagne, Smoltz, and Wagner. He is not even close to being in their class
Well if you say he wont end up with 45 because he gives up too many runs, that would relate to a few extra blown saves but a few more wins... eather way, it works for me.
Whether he is up to them or not isnt the question. Sure they are better and may have ERA's up to two runs closer, the question is will he get that many saves and the answer is yes. he could get 45. I would just count on 35-40 though or you will end up disappointed.