by Pirates4Life » Tue Jul 03, 2007 3:31 pm
For those who think the Yankees have a realistic shot at the playoffs right now, consider this:
The wild card team right now is the Tigers, who are 47-33 (.588 winning percentage). At that pace, they end up with 48 more wins this year for a final record of 95-67.
Want to assume that winning percentage drops down to .550? Fine, they end up with 92 wins. Even further, what if they drop to being a .500 team from here on out? LOL, obviously they wouldn't end up being the wild card team in that case, but they'd still end up with 88 wins.
For the Yankees to even get to 88 wins, they have to go 48-32 the rest of the way, or a winning percentage of .600. They'd need a winning percentage of .650 to get to 92 wins.
And that's not including the 4 other non-division-leading teams with more wins than the Yankees right now.
The odds are obviously far worse for them to catch the Red Sox.
The Yankees are a case study in how to blow it with the biggest built-in competitive advantage in sports. I'd bet the farm that they won't be in the playoffs this year.