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Erboes wrote:Interesting topic. I went through the mock drafts and tried to combine players that went in similar points in the drafts. Here, Pierre was a 7th-8th round pick, and combining him with a power hitter who went in a similar round as Sanchez and compared him to a power hitter taken in the 7th-8th round with Sanchez (in other words, I combined Pierre's stats with an average year by Floyd, whom was taken at about the same point as Sanchez, then combined Sanchez's average year with someone who was taken at the same point as Pierre, who in this case was Edmunds). The Pierre/Floyd combo completely obliterated the Edmunds/D. Roberts team, and massacred any other combonation I could think of. In other words, Pierre going in the 7th round is a steal.
The question of Pierre going in the 3rd round was a different matter. I came up with three combinations, including one from the balanced approach. It tried to even out the AB's by pro-rating and used Robert's numbers from '02 and not last season. I tried to reach as much of an average season for these players as possible, including such things as Floyd's slippage in steals last season. I tried to be as objective as possible with this so as to find the truth. This is what I came up with:
G. Anderson/D. Roberts averages:
As you can see, the Anderson group lags behind both, while the other two are close. Overall, I think the Pierre/Floyd grouping comes out ahead.
It is my estimation that both Sanders and Floyd went too low, but changing the players around only altered the numbers slightly. It is my belief that Pierre is NOT overvalued if he's taken in the 3rd round. Others may disagree with me, but taking him in the 3rd round or later is quite a bargain.
Cornbread Maxwell wrote:Ok - real quick:
Some serious points are not being talked about.
We need to step off the statistics for a minute and look at FLA as a team. They lost Pudge, Lee, and Encarnacion. Thats their 3, 4, and 5 hitters. They have replaced them with a young stud SS. If he lives up to the highest expectations, he wont replace either Lee or Pudge. No way Pierre scores as many runs this yr.
2nd, Jack McKeon is not a running manager. Take a look at Castillos numbers pre-McKeon v. post-McKeon. Thats a serious drop folks.
Do not expect Pierre to post numbers like last yr. All those comparisons being run are pretty interesting, but add up to not much of anything if your projections are way off. Comparing players stats from last yr means your great at lookng back on history and not much else.
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