MaudDib wrote:Like I said before I would go with hitters not because you are out smarting the other managers or going against the curve but because pitchers are so inconsistent. I started with a league aabout 6-7 years ago with 5 keepers and at the time I figured that it would be better to keep 3-4 pitchers and go in to the draft with one of the better rotations. And every year after the draft I would look at my team and think of how good my pitching staff would look like. Then come around all-star break I would notice that 1-2 of those 3-4 SP's I kept would either be on the DL or just not putting up the numbers I thought they should. Now I pretty much keep hitters and I haven't finished below 3rd and I won the league twice. So you can draft pitchers and have one of the best pitching staffs on paper but come all-star break you better hope those guys are still there.
One last thing to think about. If a SP gets hurt and goes on the DL for 6-8 weeks you are likely to lose about 8-10 starts for that pitcher which only gives you about 20 starts. A hitter might go on the DL for 6-8 weeks which is about 150 at bats could leave you with about 400 at bats left. I don't know if this helps much but I would rather have the 400 at bats than the 20 starts.
Fair enough. But in my keeper league (12 team, H2H, 9 keepers), I'm keeping Santana, Peavy, and Cain - that's 3/9 for SPs. I feel that this is a smart tactic given that entering the draft I will have a HUGE comparative advantage in the pitching categories. On top of this, it will allow me to fill in my holes in my lineup while others are scrambling for SPs thereby giving me a further advantage (they're getting mediocre SPs while I'm topping off my lineup with quality hitters).
One can always make the injury argument, but when it comes down to it, I'll take two freakishly nasty SPs who will dominate whenever they play over a great hitter who is one among many.