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clarkw267 wrote:Um yeah.. looks like your boy is starting to come back to where he was at A+ last year.... .258 BA.
Curtis Pride wrote:And yet, even when hitting under .260 Rasmus is still dramatically more valuable than Maybin. Just goes to show how wide the gap was a month ago
Curtis Pride wrote:by what metric can you possibly say that Maybin is worth more than Rasmus? Batting average? If it were 1985 and people still thought that were the be-all end-all of offensive statistics, you may have a point.
And even Maybin's higher OPS isn't even that compelling. First, Rasmus is playing at a higher level. Second, Maybin's OPS (both is OBP and SLG) is inflated artificially by his unsustainably high BABIP - which is .430. It's normally .300 in the majors, but is normally higher in the minors (about .325 because of worse fielding). Those that typically sustain a higher BABIP are guys that also have high LD% rates (makes sense, right?) like guys like Jeter, Nomar, and Ichiro, all normally north of 20% and those with high FB%.
Well, Maybin has a 9% LD% which is anemic. He also grounds out 2/3 of the time. What this says is that Maybin's merely beating out ground balls with his fantastic speed. But that's not sustainable as the infield defense he's hitting to improves.
He's got an .871 OPS right now and a .430 BABIP. With a .325 BABIP, his OPS goes down to .753 (.350 OBP .403 SLG), from losing 15 ground ball singles.
He's extremely fast. He's a great fielder. No question. NO debate here. But he struggles as a hitter, and he strikes out way too much.
Cameron Maybin is simply not an elite prospect right now. He's had two years to begin to utilize his "tools" and he's not improved any facet of his game.
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