One of the most overlooked and crucial pieces of evaluating a points league is symmetry.
When you're doing symmetrical analysis of a points league, what you're actually doing is looking to see if it even exists. Symmetry in a points league exists if the average starter-worthy hitter produces roughly the same number of points as the average starter-worthy pitcher. (Note that "starter-worthy pitcher" refers to pitchers that would fill pitching slots, not necessarily starters). Symmetry also must be evaluated within each side of that equation in the form of a standard deviation. How much better is the best hitter/pitcher than the average?
This begs two obvious questions:
- Why do I want to do this evaluation?
- How do I go about doing this evaluation?
The answer to the first question is simple: You want to win, right? All scoring systems have an inherent predisposition. If you know that is, you can manipulate your roster in manner that produces the most points for you.
The answer to the second question is also simple, but the actual act is more or less complicated depending on your skill set. To go about evaluating your league scoring system, find a stat set with stats for every MLB player. Make sure that the stat set includes every category you score in. Dougstats
puts out a good one. I recommend starting there.
Once you get all of the stats into Excel, put in a formula that derives the total points each player scored. I recommend doing this for at least
the last 3 seasons so that your evaluation isn't skewed by an anomalous season. Once you have the total points for each player, calculate the score for the average hitter and pitcher. It's important that you do not calculate this average for all hitters and pitchers. Only include players that are potential starter candidates. This number will vary, but it's heavily dependent on the quality of your league.
For instance, if your 14-team league starts 8 hitters and 8 pitchers, that's 112 hitters and pitchers starting each week. However, no league has perfect owners. If your league has average owners, I recommend doubling your starters when calculating your average (so, 224 in this case). You can increase or decrease that number based on your perception of the quality of ownership in your league.
Cutting to the chase, let's say that your average hitter scores 250 points in a season, but your average pitcher scores 350 points. Guess what? Your scoring system favors pitchers by a whopping 40%. Now the logical thing to do is to stock up on all pitchers, but that may not be the right move. What if all pitchers score between 300 and 400 points and hitters score between 100 and 400 points? Stocking up on pitchers will give you marginal gain compared to a lineup stacked with the best hitters.
I know this answer is long-winded and doesn't specifically give you an answer to your question. I'm using the "teach a man to fish" technique here. If you know how to evaluate your league, you won't have to worry about asking others for help. You'll know what to do yourself. Unfortunately, this is the world of points fantasy baseball. Give it a shot. Analyze your league. Then try to make some WW moves or trades that will shift the focus of your team towards the predisposition of your league's scoring system.
Good luck, and if you need help performing the actual analysis, just shoot me a PM.