Art Vandelay wrote:Have you guys that are saying he's been getting lucky actually been watching him pitch this year, or are you just looking at his numbers and assuming he's getting lucky? If anything, I'd say he's getting unlucky this year because the pen can't hold a lead for him. His only win so far was his complete game. The .109 BAA against because people are hitting the ball hard, but to the wrong place, it's because batters aren't making good contact. Lots of bloops, dribblers, guys getting handcuffed, etc. He has been absolutely dominant for much of the time that he's been on the mound this year.
yes I've watched and he's getting extremely lucky. There have been many very dominant pitchers in baseball and not a one of them has done anything close to a .109 BAA. Those bloops, dribblers and guys getting hadcuffed still turn into hits way more than he is giving up. He's stranded almost every runner that has gotten on. Simple truth is if he pitches exactly like this in may he'll have an ERA over 3 and it could be close to 4.
That being said I think he'll pitch better next month, the control will get better.