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Slant wrote:The #s are the rankings, not the spot in the draft. OK, maybe I'm overconfident, but these rankings are based on concrete numbers.
Explain those concrete numbers?
Jimenez should hit .274 12HR 94R 67RBI 12SB (27% confident)
Batista should hit .259 36HR 89R 92RBI 5SB (45% confident)
Dunn should hit .277 33HR 97R 77RBI 18SB (31% confident)
Blalock should hit .279 19HR 74R 79RBI 8SB (24% confident)
Furcal should hit .291 8HR 106R 53RBI 53SB (30% confident)
this isn't too great, but look at this:
A-Rod should hit .348 60HR 145R 145RBI 23SB (67% confident)
94 runs for Jimenez? Arod 145 runs and rbis? Where do you get you % of confidence? Only one of the above is at least 50%. Why would anyone base something on a 24% confident?
You may laugh, but like I said, these predictions have a history of being correct.
If the system is that good, why not get a web site, or try to put out a book?
It seems like this year I may have put too much faith in young players I am not very confident about, but usually just as many players overperform as underperform, so hopefully it will even out.
I won using these predictions last year, but I've never gotten so much opposition... oh well, only time will tell.
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