Erboes wrote:Look, LCBoy, most people rely heavily on last season's numbers and that is usually a mistake. If that is obvious to you I'm proud of you, but it may not be for everyone. Of those who wagered a guess only you didn't have him about the same as last season, and since you wanted to usher him into the hall of fame already I thought that I should counter it with some reason. If you want to get smart with me that is fine, Boy, but don't expect me to take it with a smile.
I guess you can't take a joke. I have not put him in the HoF just yet. But one needs to look forward, not backward. Given Blalock's age (22) last season his upside is high. How many 22 year-old third baseman had seasons like Blalock did? That's all I'm saying. And you didn't counter with reason. All you said was that you thought he'd be -$5 worse in 2004 WITHOUT giving any reason.
Remember, Blalock is at an age where a player is still improving. Many, many players at that age take sustantial steps forward in their production. It would be different if he was 28. After age 28 most players do not improve.