Hi folks, first time poster here.
I'm co-managing a team this year in a 12 team Yahoo H2H point league. The strategy I see is not one i'm comfortable with, so I was hoping to get some direction.
Here are the nuts and bolts:
Roster Positions: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, OF, OF, OF, Util, Util, SP, SP, SP, RP, RP, P, P, BN, BN, BN, BN, BN, DL
Stat Categories: R, 1B, 2B, 3B, HR, RBI, SB, BB, IP, W, CG, SV, H, ER, BB, K
Stat Modifiers: R (1), 1B (1), 2B (2), 3B (3), HR (4), RBI (1), SB (2), BB (1), IP (1), W (10), CG (5), SV (10), H (-.5), ER (-.5), BB (-.5), K (1)
So I did a little number crunching from last years stats.
According to my league cats, the top hitter scored about 150 more than the top pitcher. Probably no surprise there.
On the hitting side, the difference between the top batter and the 50th ranked one was about 180 points.
I broke it down a bit more, (compared 12 at a time) and found the biggest difference between players came in between 1 and 12, and then the gaps got smaller as they went down in rank. Probably no surprise there either.
The pitching side is where it got interesting. The first thing I noticed was that 9 out of the first 10 ranked were RP. They pretty much dominated the top 25.
The point difference was also much larger - between 1 and 50 was a whopping gap of 280 points. The gaps as they went down in rank was also larger, as you can probably guess.
Now I know that pitchers are not as reliable as hitters, and not being a stat guy, I don't know if last years numbers were an abberation - but I'm wonding why I shouldn't draft 4 RP studs right off the bat, save my hitters till later.
They can laugh at me all they want on draft day, but if they come in anywhere near projections, I'd take my much larger advantage on the pitching side to their advantage on the hitting side and laugh every week.
I've plugged my cats into a few draft-helper sites, and they all pretty much agree with each other, giving me normal looking drafts. Hitting studs first, maybe a few pitchers in the first few rounds, but not many.
I just can't agree with that looking at these numbers. I'm hoping someone here can knock some sense into me and tell me what I'm not seeing.
Thanks in advance!