KHI wrote:Compared to Reyes, Hanley's minor stats are much better..
I think Hanley has a better chance to hit for average than Reyes, and there slg % are similar, but isn't that a double standard to then say Hanley is too high based on just one year, where Reyes, who's going so high because of the power and average included, has only done it one year?
Don't get me wrong, I still have Hanley ranked fairly high. Like the #5 SS, I think. But I have his projected value to be almost identical to the #8 or 9 SS. If everyone had similar projections, you would expect Hanley to be randomly somewhere between 4 & 10. Which would have meant he might have been available around round 10, especially if other people have such a flat value curve for SS like I do.
But judging from mocks that I've looked at, a lot of people have Hanley ranked somewhere between #2 and #4 at SS, with a considerable amount more value than the #10 SS (otherwise, why would he go in the 3rd round?). IMHO, *that* is trusting his power surge from last year a little too much, specifically because he was a rookie last year, and we've seen a lot of rookie sensations peter out the next year. That said, I won't be 100% surprised if he repeats or even improves on his numbers from last year, but I won't be surprised if he doesn't either.
As for Reyes, he might not get up to 19 HR's again, but he did have 7 HR's the year before, and it looks more like a trend of improvement than a fluke year (this is completely subjective, but it's my opinion). And he has shown consistent production in the other categories in his first 2 years.
(taps little picture of a microphone)... is this thing on?