I don't know if anybody would be interested in this, but I'm in a league with 9 friends and before the season my buddy Dan ran our rosters using TSN numbers to see who would win. There is generally not a lot of trading because none of us trust the others (the biggest trade - Sheets for Armas) so the rosters stayed fairly close to the originals. Anyway, here's the projected and real rankings.
Sh**ty beatles 79 (77.5-3rd)
Ewing Oil 79 (42.5-9th)
Mad Murdocks 73 (76-4th)
Anti-Semitic Clods (me) 72.5 (89-1st)
Righteous Tsunamis 72.5 (75.5-T5th)
Slaughter All 71.5 (62-7th)
I like Lauren Bush 59 (87.5-2nd)
Beware the French 54 (75.5-T5th)
Homerun Hurin 50 (50.5-8th)
Bada Bing 49.5 (24-10th)
So there you have it. Some are startling close, while others (I like Lauren Bush, anyone?) are wayyyyy off. I do think it’s interesting, though, that 4 teams were all in the top five in both rankings.
And then there are the crazy variations in baseball in general — I suspect Loaiza alone was responsible for at least 7 or 8 of I like Lauren Bush’s points, and who could have predicted that?? Ewing Oil vanished after I pissed him off and McCall spent a lot of time in the hospital and such, so they probably would have been better (although not up to prediction) if they’d managed their teams all season.
Does anybody else have some stats like these? I'm trying to figure out which free projections are the best to use - Obviously, you can't just use one, but I'm trying to see who is closest.
Anyone?