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Beltre Syndrome

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Postby BritSox » Thu Feb 08, 2007 12:30 pm

Yoda wrote:
RJ24VC15 wrote:I was thinking Soriano would be that player, but his lineup and ballpark will make up for some numbers he could have lost if he had signed in Washington again.

I consider Soriano as a wildcard. I didn't know what to think of him in 06 so I just kept quiet and stayed away. A lot of people thought park, lineup would just kill him but he flourished instead. In 05, he was a big disappointment considering he was in the most ideal situation considering park and lineup.

For 07, he seems like he is in another good situation with park/lineup. My guess is that he will fall a little bit from 06 and not enough to be a bust. Slightly disappointing the owners who expected his 06 level. But I still do not know which Soriano we will see.

THat's almost exactly my thinking.
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Postby Yoda » Thu Feb 08, 2007 12:40 pm

stumpak wrote:The Beltre monster year in 04 and subsequent fall-off is a once in a century type of thing, literally. I agree with a lot of the names listed above, but what we are really talking about is say a Jorge Cantu 2006 level of fall-off, not something on the Beltre scale.

Once in a century? See: Rich Aurillia. See Richard Hidalgo. Catastrophic failures happen pretty much every year.
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