PlayingWithFire wrote:BritSox wrote:PlayingWithFire wrote:still haven't answered my Saarloos example...
Because it's worthless. When has Saarloos ever had good K/BB and HR/9 in the majors? Prospects bust sometimes, big wow.
Let me guess, Greg Maddux' entire career was a fluke.
No, Maddux does everything other than k extremely well and his k-rate was acceptable.
My point is that when scouting prospects, stuff absolutely matter. And the definite statement that k/bb and hr/9 is all you need is just plain not accurate, sure those 2 stats helps. But so does a lot of other factors.
First of all, the ability to strikeout a lot of batters shows "stuff", while the BB part of the ratio shows how a pitcher, prospect or not, controls his "stuff". Also, if a guy has good "stuff" then taking him deep is harder. Second, There are three stats that correlate highly from year to year: K/9, BB/9, and HR/9 (Allowed). And seeing as how "stuff" is generally subjective, these three stats give a better picture about what a pitcher will do in the future, at least better than traditional stats such as ERA, WHIP, and, of course, wins.